Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.012875 0.014531 0.016209 0.018030 0.019946 0.021895 0.024024
2025-04-20 0.009949 0.012533 0.015279 0.018384 0.021766 0.025316 0.029297
2025-04-27 0.007800 0.010848 0.014223 0.018161 0.022564 0.027283 0.032671
2025-05-04 0.006101 0.009391 0.013185 0.017742 0.022953 0.028633 0.035210
2025-05-11 0.005067 0.008566 0.012746 0.017888 0.023872 0.030479 0.038209
2025-05-18 0.004096 0.007689 0.012146 0.017762 0.024406 0.031834 0.040604
2025-05-25 0.003172 0.006748 0.011378 0.017362 0.024563 0.032708 0.042412
2025-06-01 0.002492 0.006042 0.010838 0.017181 0.024930 0.033784 0.044413
2025-06-08 0.001875 0.005327 0.010222 0.016857 0.025087 0.034586 0.046071
2025-06-15 0.001469 0.004869 0.009906 0.016877 0.025631 0.035816 0.048201
2025-06-22 0.001032 0.004264 0.009336 0.016535 0.025705 0.036471 0.049647
2025-06-29 0.000636 0.003609 0.008633 0.015975 0.025478 0.036747 0.050632
2025-07-06 0.000250 0.002777 0.007620 0.015010 0.024793 0.036546 0.051160
2025-07-13 0.000139 0.002562 0.007557 0.015349 0.025773 0.038375 0.054107
2025-07-20 0.000031 0.002154 0.007128 0.015145 0.026038 0.039323 0.056003
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001729 0.006599 0.014762 0.026044 0.039937 0.057486
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001525 0.006440 0.014896 0.026714 0.041352 0.059914
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001264 0.006127 0.014780 0.027038 0.042330 0.061810
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000966 0.005670 0.014414 0.027009 0.042857 0.063152
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000758 0.005359 0.014249 0.027235 0.043689 0.064852
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000551 0.004982 0.013953 0.027266 0.044266 0.066232
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000435 0.004808 0.013972 0.027720 0.045369 0.068246
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000283 0.004449 0.013660 0.027700 0.045862 0.069509